Who wins. By how much. And why.

Win chances and expected margins for every NFL and NBA game, in plain words, side by side with the market.

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This week's free analysis

Every game gets the same analysis: this one is free, the others come with Nalytix Pro. The blue line is our expected margin, the yellow one the market's point spread.

Your team8:15 PM ETFree analysisSlight difference

BUFBuffalo BillsQB Josh AllenatLALos Angeles RamsQB Matthew Stafford

Our model and the market
	Our model	MarketThe point spread and win chances of US sportsbooks: what the betting market expects. We show them only to compare with our model. Nalytix offers no betting services.
Expected margin	Even	LA by 3.5
Win chance	50/50	LA 62%

Why the model sees it this way

Overall strength: Buffalo Bills (#5 in the league) rates above Los Angeles Rams (#10): +1.9 pts to Buffalo Bills.
Home field: +1.7 pts to Los Angeles Rams.

Full analysis

Every game, answered. Who's favored and by how much, for every game on the schedule.

The why, in plain words. Team strength, home field, the quarterback, rest: what moves each forecast, in points.

Tested on games it never saw.

Winners picked on games the models never saw while we built them. The market still picks a few more than we do, and we say so.

NFL2,019 games

Our model: 64.8%
The market: 66.3%
Always the home team: 53.7%

NBA10,227 games

Our model: 65.1%
The market: 67.6%
Always the home team: 55.8%

Frequently asked questions

Clear answers to your questions about Nalytix.

Is Nalytix free?

No, Nalytix is a paid service. You can access the site, view the game schedule (NFL & NBA) and run an AI analysis, but the detailed results (chances of winning, point spreads, key factors) are blurred out and require a Nalytix Pro subscription to be unlocked.

How does the AI analysis work?

Our machine learning algorithms continuously analyze thousands of data points. The model then simulates each matchup to predict each outcome and break down the key factors in detail.

Is Nalytix a sports betting site?

No. Nalytix is a statistical analysis service: we're not a sportsbook, we don't take bets, and nothing on the site is betting advice. Our only goal is to explain each game with data.

Your teams first, at your level of detail.

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